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Giorgio Cafiero

Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

Analysis: Post-Assad Syria, Iran-Israel hostilities, Palestine, and an unpredictable Trump administration will be key factors in reshaping the region in 2025.

23 December, 2024

Analysis: The end of the Assad family's 54-year rule is the start of a new chapter in Syrian history, one that will have reverberations across the Middle East.

11 December, 2024

Analysis: Iran hopes that the ceasefire in Lebanon won't unravel, even if multiple factors indicate a serious risk of that outcome.

03 December, 2024

Analysis: The murder of Israeli rabbi Zvi Kogan in the Gulf country creates a challenging regional situation for the UAE's leadership to manage.

27 November, 2024

Analysis: As Commander-in-Chief, Trump will be responsible for making tough decisions concerning the future of America's military presence in Syria and Iraq.

21 November, 2024

Analysis: Trump's transactional approach might suit Turkish officials, but tensions could emerge over US policy on Iran, the YPG in Syria, and Israel's wars.

14 November, 2024

Analysis: Trump's return to the White House will have profound implications for US foreign policy in the Middle East at a time of unprecedented conflict.

07 November, 2024

Analysis: Whether Trump or Harris, the next US president will have a significant impact on the fate of the Middle East.

30 October, 2024

Analysis: The Biden administration said it wanted to avoid a regional war, but its unconditional support for Israel ended up fuelling one instead.

23 October, 2024

Analysis: In anticipation of a full-scale Iran-Israel war, Gulf states are opting for diplomacy and engagement over confrontation and military escalation.

16 October, 2024