Biden's Middle East trip reinforced an untenable status quo
It is unclear what the US administration expected from President Joe BidenāsĢż earlier this month, but what is clear is that the public reaction to the visit and its aftermath were likely not what theyād hoped for.
Since Bidenās return to the US, Russian President Vladimir Putin has gone to Saudi Arabia to . Oil prices in the US, meanwhile, remain high.
Moreover, a US-based human rights lawyer, who represented slain Saudi columnist for the Washington Post, Jamal Khashoggi,Ģż, another Gulf ally that routinely violates human rights and due process.Ģż
Misreading public opinion?Ģż
Probably the most memorable moment of Bidenās trip was his with Saudi Arabiaās de facto leader, Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman (MBS), inevitable fodder for international ridicule.Ģż
The chummy fist bump (chosen to minimise exposure to covid, which Biden tested positive for days after his return), quickly came to symbolise a US administration seemingly out of touch with its constituents and the international community.ĢżĢżĢż
āI think the White House itself was surprised by the American publicās negative reaction to the trip,ā Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute, tells °®Āžµŗ.ĢżĢżĢż
āThey somehow missed that this would be an unpopular trip,ā he said.ĢżĢż
"Implying that meeting with MBS and supporting an abusive government is our only option forward is not true. There are many other policy and energy options"
Prior to the visit, it was believed, or at least hoped, by many that this visit would be based on realpolitik - a cynical but necessary move to , show a united front against Russia, and try to steer Saudi Arabia away from doing business with China.
Before Bidenās departure, Senator Chris Coons of Delaware, speaking with MSNBC, said circumstances had changed, citing the war in Ukraine, making this trip a necessary compromise.ĢżĢżĢż
"One of the things that has changed since the campaign, has changed in recent months, is that Russia is committing daily human rights violations, atrocities in Ukraine against thousands of Ukrainian civilians," he said.ĢżĢżĢżĢż
"And one other thing that's changed - the strain, the pressure on our key European allies and partners because oil and gas prices continue to rise," he continued.ĢżĢżĢż
Worse than realpolitik?Ģż
But after Biden left, it became apparent to many that the outcome of his visit might have been even worse than realpolitik.
Even when setting aside the human rights ideals heād campaigned on, he appeared to leave empty-handed.ĢżĢżĢż
āThe US gets nothing. Zero. Letās assume you donāt care. They still get nothing. Itās not even realpolitik,ā says Abdullah Alaoudh, research director for Democracy in the Arab World Now (DAWN), tells TNA.Ģż
As though to confirm this sense of failure, when the was asked what Biden had gained from the trip, they said that heād gotten the chance to meet a world leader.ĢżĢż
For some, this was reminiscent of recently resigned UK Prime Minister Boris Johnsonās March trip to the country shortly after the Saudi government executed 81 people.ĢżĢż
"Biden had promised to prioritise human rights but instead has maintained the same relationships he had said he would change"
An unnecessary trip?ĢżĢż
Was Bidenās trip to Saudi Arabia necessary? Parsi doesnāt think so.ĢżĢż
āSince Biden was so adamant about not meeting MBS, many saw this as engaging in humiliation,ā says Parsi. āI understand the need to make the trip to Israel, but the Saudi leg of the trip I just donāt get.āĢż
Thatās not to say that the Saudis are especially savvy, but rather, āWe are fundamentally unsavvy,ā he says. āWeāre playing our cards badly.āĢż
Raed Jarrar, an advocacy director at DAWN, saw the meeting between Biden and the crown prince as āa shameful indicator that US policy will continue in the wrong directionā.Ģż
He notes that Biden had promised to prioritise human rights, but instead has maintained the same relationships he had said he would change. Moreover, he sees these necessary alliances for gas prices as a false narrative.Ģż
āThere are many geopolitical reasons and solutions for dealing with high gas prices,ā he says.
āImplying that meeting with MBS and supporting an abusive government is our only option forward is not true. There are many other policy and energy options. Thereās alternative energy or oil from other suppliers. Those issues can be dealt with separately."
A similar reaction over IsraelĢż
Bidenās time in Israel and the , just before heading to Saudi Arabia, though less high-profile and arguably more necessary, appeared to elicit a similar public reaction, particularly after saying that now was not the right time for peace talks.Ģż
Bidenās flight from Tel Aviv to Jeddah made him the first president to fly between the two countries, a symbolic step in the normalisation process between Israel and oil-rich Gulf states, all the more remarkable given the Palestiniansā absence in this historic process.Ģż
āThe discussion is about you, but youāre not there,ā Hatem Al-Bazian, a lecturer of Middle East languages and culture and UC Berkeley, tells TNA. āIsrael has already said it wants to pursue an economic plan with the Palestinians, not a land-based plan.āĢż
He describes this plan as superficial and not getting to the heart of the issue, which is a lack of human rights and democracy.Ģż
āNo matter what Arab countries you bring in, itās still an apartheid state. Itās not going away,ā he says.Ģż
Why is Biden not keeping his campaign promises?Ģż
While it can be easy to criticise Biden for failing to keep some of his key campaign promises related to the Middle East ā such as making Saudi Arabia a pariah and not meeting MBS, reopening the US consulate in Jerusalem, and renegotiating the ā it can be difficult to understand the level of pressure heās under to continue with the previous administrationās policies.Ģż
He might have seen what happened to Obama after he chose Cairo as his first visit and major speech in the region in his first term, as he proposed a new beginning between the United States and Muslims around the world.Ģż
āHe got pulverised in the midterms,ā Al-Bazian recalls.Ģż
At least for now, he says heās not optimistic about the future of the region, one he sees as reverting to a pre-Arab Spring status in terms of democracy and freedom, accelerated by a lack of strength by US leadership.ĢżĢżĢż
"We are fundamentally unsavvy. We're playing our cards badly"
This dismay over Bidenās foreign policy since taking office has not been limited to the activist community.ĢżĢż
On Sunday, The New York Times published an analysis titled āOn U.S. Foreign Policy, the New Boss Acts a Lot Like the Old Oneā arguing that Bidenās policies strongly resemble those of former president Donald Trump ā from following the Abraham Accords to sidelining Iran.Ģż
Though this is arguably unfair in many areas, in the Middle East, Bidenās policies are in line with Trumpās much more than with Obamaās.Ģż
While it is no doubt difficult to change course, many of Bidenās voters might say thatās why they elected him over his opponent in the first place.
Brooke Anderson is °®Āžµŗ's correspondent in Washington DC, covering US and international politics, business, and culture.
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